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Preventing Civil War in South Sudan

December 31, 2013

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The news from Juba is very bad. South Sudan is in the throes of political conflict and serious fighting that has the potential to become civil war. Several hundred people have been reported dead and more injured. Unless cooler heads prevail, the situation could spiral out of control in places including Juba, the capital; Bor, the capital of Jonglei state, about 125 miles to the north of Juba; and Bentiu, the capital of Unity state, which has a lot of oil.


This week Ban Ki-moon, secretary general of the United Nations, called for an increase in the peacekeeping force on the ground, while about 45,000 people have already sought protection at United Nations compounds around the ground. It is obviously imperative for the United Nations to safeguard their lives.


But there is another card that should now be played: economic pressure from the outside, particularly in terms of how South Sudan’s oil revenues are handled. In the short term, a willingness to limit access to these revenues could signal less money available to finance conflict.


South Sudan funds almost its entire government budget from oil revenues, which amount to $2 billion to $3 billion (with production previously running around 250,000 barrels per day).


………but South Sudan must and can be prevented from descending into a brutal conflict for control over its oil revenues.

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“There will be great competition and a great risk of conflict and war over gaining access to the remaining resources. . . a certain degree of conflict will arise, particularly in the poorer nations, within them and between them.”

-page 123, Great Waves of Change

One Comment leave one →
  1. Jenna permalink
    January 4, 2014 11:11 pm

    We (as a world) cannot afford war to break out. “Every nation will be dependent on the stability of nations around it.” The New World revelation

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