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The world of 2030: U.S. declines; food, water may be scarce

December 10, 2012

Full Article at http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/world-2030-u-declines-food-water-may-scarce-162757458–politics.html

By  Olivier Knox

Sorry, everyone, but flying cars don’t appear in the “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds” report that the director of national intelligence’s office made public on Monday.

Instead, the National Intelligence Council paints the picture of a world in which the U.S. is no longer the unquestionably dominant global player; individuals and small groups may carry out devastating cyber or bioterror attacks; oh, and food and water may be running short in some places.

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Four “megatrends” shaping the world were cited: growing individual empowerment; diffusion of power; major shifts in demographics; and rising demand for food, water and energy.

The report also sees the potential for “black swan” shocks to the system. These include: a severe pandemic; faster-than-forecast climate change; the collapse of the European Union; the collapse of China (or its embrace of democracy); and a reformed Iran that abandons its suspected nuclear weapons program. They also include a conflict using nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons, or a large-scale cyber-attack; solar geomagnetic storms that may knock out satellites and the electric grid; or a sudden retreat of the U.S. from global affairs.

Full Article at http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/world-2030-u-declines-food-water-may-scarce-162757458–politics.html

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